The Nebraska Senate race is turning into an unexpected battleground as Independent candidate Dan Osborn takes a lead over Republican Sen. Deb Fischer, according to recent polls. Fischer, who is seeking her third term, now faces a well-funded, George Soros-backed challenge from Osborn, a political newcomer backed by outside financial support.

A recent poll conducted by The New York Times and Siena College revealed Osborn with an 11-point advantage over Fischer, leaving Republicans concerned about a potential upset in a state where they typically dominate. The same poll also highlighted strong support for President Donald Trump in Nebraska, yet Fischer’s numbers have lagged behind.

Osborn’s populist campaign focuses on representing Nebraska’s working families and small businesses, distancing himself from the Washington establishment. His rise in politics began after leading a strike at Omaha’s Kellogg plant in 2021, earning him national recognition. Osborn is positioning himself as an alternative to Fischer, whom he paints as a career politician disconnected from everyday Nebraskans.

Fischer, who has championed rural issues throughout her time in the Senate, is trying to fend off Osborn’s attacks. She has received Trump’s endorsement and enjoys a long history of support from Nebraska’s agricultural community. However, her campaign is raising concerns about Osborn’s true political leanings, suggesting he could align with Democrats if elected.

The race has caught many Republicans off guard, forcing them to allocate more resources to Fischer’s campaign. As the November election approaches, the outcome of this race may signal broader anti-incumbent trends across the country.