Vice President Kamala Harris’ recent polling surge is raising eyebrows among political analysts, including Swiss political scientist Dr. Louis Perron. Perron suggests that the rise in Harris’ numbers may not be entirely accurate, as some voters could be hiding their true support for President Donald Trump due to social pressure and media narratives.

“There is currently quite a media hype about Kamala in the mainstream media, so some voters might not want to admit that they won’t vote for her,” Perron explained, pointing to the “shy voter” effect. This phenomenon, which has been observed in past elections, occurs when individuals conceal their true political preferences out of concern for how they might be judged. Perron notes that this dynamic has often led to conservative candidates like Trump being underestimated in pre-election polls.

Perron also highlighted the inherent bias in national polling, which tends to favor Democrats due to the large population centers in states like California and New York. These states contribute disproportionately to overall numbers but do not reflect the competitive nature of the Electoral College. As a result, Harris’ lead could be inflated.

The Swiss expert’s analysis draws parallels to past elections where polling errors led to surprises on Election Day. Perron warns that the current polling environment might be similarly flawed, with hidden Trump support emerging only when voters are in the privacy of the voting booth.

As the 2024 election draws nearer, Perron’s analysis suggests that the Harris polling surge might not be as definitive as it appears, and that the final result could differ significantly from what current data suggests.